Solio Analytics is a Fantasy Premier League projection and optimisation tool, pairing one of the sharpest public projection models with state-of-the-art solvers for transfer and chip planning. This page publishes our latest Gameweek 5 projections, best captain picks, highest-leverage differentials, team-level clean sheet odds, and transfer trends. Data refreshes every 4 hours. For squad-specific recommendations across the rest of your season — free for the next 5 gameweeks, full season for members — use the planner at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Players ranked by Solio Analytics' projected points for Gameweek 5. Double gameweek players accumulate projected points across both fixtures.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Opp | Price | Proj. Points | Own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haaland | MCI | FWD | SUN (H) | £15.5m | 7.42 | 71.9% |
| 2 | Gibbs-White | NFO | MID | COV (H) | £7.9m | 6.00 | 10.2% |
| 3 | B.Fernandes | MUN | MID | FUL (A) | £12.0m | 5.99 | 42.5% |
| 4 | Wissa | NEW | FWD | HUL (H) | £6.2m | 5.80 | 18.5% |
| 5 | Saka | ARS | MID | BHA (A) | £9.5m | 5.62 | 11.7% |
| 6 | Semenyo | MCI | MID | SUN (H) | £8.4m | 5.34 | 15.9% |
| 7 | Palmer | CHE | MID | BRE (A) | £9.7m | 5.34 | 26.8% |
| 8 | João Pedro | CHE | FWD | BRE (A) | £7.8m | 5.26 | 74.6% |
| 9 | Marmoush | TOT | FWD | AVL (H) | £7.0m | 5.19 | 2.2% |
| 10 | Calvert-Lewin | LEE | FWD | CRY (H) | £6.0m | 5.15 | 21.8% |
| 11 | Barry | EVE | FWD | IPS (H) | £5.6m | 5.12 | 6.4% |
| 12 | N.Williams | NFO | DEF | COV (H) | £5.0m | 5.05 | 8.3% |
| 13 | Isak | LIV | FWD | BOU (A) | £9.1m | 4.95 | 22.5% |
| 14 | Barnes | NEW | MID | HUL (H) | £6.0m | 4.91 | 2.8% |
| 15 | Mbeumo | MUN | MID | FUL (A) | £7.9m | 4.90 | 23.4% |
| 16 | O'Reilly | MCI | DEF | SUN (H) | £6.4m | 4.89 | 12.9% |
| 17 | Muñoz | NFO | DEF | COV (H) | £5.4m | 4.86 | 5.5% |
| 18 | Muharemović | LEE | DEF | CRY (H) | £5.0m | 4.79 | 3.9% |
| 19 | Dewsbury-Hall | EVE | MID | IPS (H) | £6.5m | 4.78 | 4.8% |
| 20 | Rogers | CHE | MID | BRE (A) | £7.7m | 4.76 | 36.1% |
| 21 | Gvardiol | MCI | DEF | SUN (H) | £5.6m | 4.74 | 21.2% |
| 22 | Gabriel | ARS | DEF | BHA (A) | £8.0m | 4.71 | 23.7% |
| 23 | Szoboszlai | LIV | MID | BOU (A) | £7.0m | 4.69 | 37.4% |
| 24 | Anderson | MCI | MID | SUN (H) | £6.3m | 4.68 | 4.2% |
| 25 | Thiago | BRE | FWD | CHE (H) | £7.9m | 4.66 | 10.1% |
| 26 | Garner | EVE | MID | IPS (H) | £6.0m | 4.65 | 0.1% |
| 27 | Murillo | NFO | DEF | COV (H) | £5.5m | 4.64 | 1.7% |
| 28 | Tarkowski | EVE | DEF | IPS (H) | £6.0m | 4.56 | 12.5% |
| 29 | Thiaw | NEW | DEF | HUL (H) | £5.0m | 4.55 | 2.2% |
| 30 | Guéhi | MCI | DEF | SUN (H) | £6.0m | 4.49 | 18.5% |
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Top captaincy candidates ranked by projected points. The captain scores double, so Proj. Points × 2 is the projected captaincy return.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Opp | Proj. Points | Captain Proj. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haaland | MCI | FWD | SUN (H) | 7.42 | 14.83 |
| 2 | Gibbs-White | NFO | MID | COV (H) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| 3 | B.Fernandes | MUN | MID | FUL (A) | 5.99 | 11.98 |
| 4 | Wissa | NEW | FWD | HUL (H) | 5.80 | 11.60 |
| 5 | Saka | ARS | MID | BHA (A) | 5.62 | 11.24 |
| 6 | Semenyo | MCI | MID | SUN (H) | 5.34 | 10.68 |
| 7 | Palmer | CHE | MID | BRE (A) | 5.34 | 10.68 |
| 8 | João Pedro | CHE | FWD | BRE (A) | 5.26 | 10.52 |
| 9 | Marmoush | TOT | FWD | AVL (H) | 5.19 | 10.38 |
| 10 | Calvert-Lewin | LEE | FWD | CRY (H) | 5.15 | 10.30 |
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Differential value — ranked by leverage = Proj. Points × (1 − ownership%). A high-leverage differential gains you rank when it hauls; lower ownership means more upside relative to the template.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Price | Proj. Points | Own% | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gibbs-White | NFO | MID | £7.9m | 6.00 | 10.2% | 5.39 |
| 2 | Marmoush | TOT | FWD | £7.0m | 5.19 | 2.2% | 5.08 |
| 3 | Saka | ARS | MID | £9.5m | 5.62 | 11.7% | 4.96 |
| 4 | Barry | EVE | FWD | £5.6m | 5.12 | 6.4% | 4.79 |
| 5 | Barnes | NEW | MID | £6.0m | 4.91 | 2.8% | 4.77 |
| 6 | Wissa | NEW | FWD | £6.2m | 5.80 | 18.5% | 4.73 |
| 7 | Garner | EVE | MID | £6.0m | 4.65 | 0.1% | 4.64 |
| 8 | N.Williams | NFO | DEF | £5.0m | 5.05 | 8.3% | 4.64 |
| 9 | Muharemović | LEE | DEF | £5.0m | 4.79 | 3.9% | 4.60 |
| 10 | Muñoz | NFO | DEF | £5.4m | 4.86 | 5.5% | 4.59 |
| 11 | Murillo | NFO | DEF | £5.5m | 4.64 | 1.7% | 4.56 |
| 12 | Dewsbury-Hall | EVE | MID | £6.5m | 4.78 | 4.8% | 4.55 |
| 13 | Semenyo | MCI | MID | £8.4m | 5.34 | 15.9% | 4.49 |
| 14 | Anderson | MCI | MID | £6.3m | 4.68 | 4.2% | 4.48 |
| 15 | Thiaw | NEW | DEF | £5.0m | 4.55 | 2.2% | 4.45 |
For your specific squad, get a free personalised plan at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Players ranked by projected goals (prG) across all Gameweek 5 fixtures, penalties included. Projected points from goals shows the contribution to total projected points.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Price | prG | Proj. P (Goals) | Proj. Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haaland | MCI | FWD | £15.5m | 0.87 | 3.49 | 7.42 |
| 2 | Wissa | NEW | FWD | £6.2m | 0.60 | 2.39 | 5.80 |
| 3 | Barry | EVE | FWD | £5.6m | 0.54 | 2.16 | 5.12 |
| 4 | Calvert-Lewin | LEE | FWD | £6.0m | 0.52 | 2.08 | 5.15 |
| 5 | Isak | LIV | FWD | £9.1m | 0.47 | 1.89 | 4.95 |
| 6 | Thiago | BRE | FWD | £7.9m | 0.46 | 1.84 | 4.66 |
| 7 | Marmoush | TOT | FWD | £7.0m | 0.45 | 1.80 | 5.19 |
| 8 | João Pedro | CHE | FWD | £7.8m | 0.44 | 1.77 | 5.26 |
| 9 | Gonzalo | FUL | FWD | £6.0m | 0.42 | 1.68 | 4.47 |
| 10 | Gibbs-White | NFO | MID | £7.9m | 0.42 | 2.08 | 6.00 |
| 11 | Palmer | CHE | MID | £9.7m | 0.38 | 1.92 | 5.34 |
| 12 | Havertz | ARS | FWD | £7.6m | 0.36 | 1.44 | 4.27 |
| 13 | Saka | ARS | MID | £9.5m | 0.35 | 1.73 | 5.62 |
| 14 | Mbeumo | MUN | MID | £7.9m | 0.34 | 1.70 | 4.90 |
| 15 | Semenyo | MCI | MID | £8.4m | 0.33 | 1.66 | 5.34 |
For your specific squad, get a free personalised plan at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Players ranked by projected assists (prA) across all Gameweek 5 fixtures.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Price | prA | Proj. P (Assists) | Proj. Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B.Fernandes | MUN | MID | £12.0m | 0.47 | 1.40 | 5.99 |
| 2 | Gibbs-White | NFO | MID | £7.9m | 0.31 | 0.94 | 6.00 |
| 3 | Saka | ARS | MID | £9.5m | 0.30 | 0.90 | 5.62 |
| 4 | Haaland | MCI | FWD | £15.5m | 0.29 | 0.86 | 7.42 |
| 5 | Elanga | NEW | MID | £6.2m | 0.28 | 0.85 | 4.32 |
| 6 | Rogers | CHE | MID | £7.7m | 0.28 | 0.83 | 4.76 |
| 7 | Stach | LEE | MID | £6.0m | 0.26 | 0.77 | 4.42 |
| 8 | Dewsbury-Hall | EVE | MID | £6.5m | 0.26 | 0.77 | 4.78 |
| 9 | Sávio | TOT | MID | £6.5m | 0.26 | 0.77 | 4.16 |
| 10 | Enzo | MCI | MID | £6.9m | 0.25 | 0.75 | 4.38 |
| 11 | Szoboszlai | LIV | MID | £7.0m | 0.24 | 0.72 | 4.69 |
| 12 | João Pedro | CHE | FWD | £7.8m | 0.24 | 0.72 | 5.26 |
| 13 | Semenyo | MCI | MID | £8.4m | 0.24 | 0.71 | 5.34 |
| 14 | Wirtz | LIV | MID | £7.4m | 0.23 | 0.70 | 4.49 |
| 15 | Fernandez-Pardo | NEW | FWD | £6.0m | 0.23 | 0.69 | 3.78 |
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Clean sheet probability per team based on projected goals conceded. For double gameweek teams this is the probability of at least one clean sheet across both fixtures.
| # | Team | Fixtures | Proj. G Against | CS % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | vs SUN | 0.72 | 49% |
| 2 | Newcastle | vs HUL | 0.93 | 40% |
| 3 | Arsenal | @ BHA | 0.98 | 37% |
| 4 | Nott'm Forest | vs COV | 1.01 | 36% |
| 5 | Everton | vs IPS | 1.04 | 35% |
| 6 | Leeds United | vs CRY | 1.11 | 33% |
| 7 | Spurs | vs AVL | 1.20 | 30% |
| 8 | Man Utd | @ FUL | 1.34 | 26% |
| 9 | Liverpool | @ BOU | 1.52 | 22% |
| 10 | Chelsea | @ BRE | 1.54 | 21% |
For your specific squad, get a free personalised plan at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Players ranked by projected bonus points (BPS-derived) across all Gameweek 5 fixtures. Shown as projected bonus contribution to total projected points.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Price | Proj. P (Bonus) | Proj. Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haaland | MCI | FWD | £15.5m | 1.16 | 7.42 |
| 2 | Wissa | NEW | FWD | £6.2m | 1.02 | 5.80 |
| 3 | Marmoush | TOT | FWD | £7.0m | 0.92 | 5.19 |
| 4 | João Pedro | CHE | FWD | £7.8m | 0.91 | 5.26 |
| 5 | B.Fernandes | MUN | MID | £12.0m | 0.86 | 5.99 |
| 6 | Barry | EVE | FWD | £5.6m | 0.76 | 5.12 |
| 7 | Calvert-Lewin | LEE | FWD | £6.0m | 0.75 | 5.15 |
| 8 | Isak | LIV | FWD | £9.1m | 0.73 | 4.95 |
| 9 | Gibbs-White | NFO | MID | £7.9m | 0.71 | 6.00 |
| 10 | Palmer | CHE | MID | £9.7m | 0.70 | 5.34 |
| 11 | Saka | ARS | MID | £9.5m | 0.68 | 5.62 |
| 12 | Thiago | BRE | FWD | £7.9m | 0.67 | 4.66 |
| 13 | N.Williams | NFO | DEF | £5.0m | 0.65 | 5.05 |
| 14 | Mbeumo | MUN | MID | £7.9m | 0.58 | 4.90 |
| 15 | Dewsbury-Hall | EVE | MID | £6.5m | 0.58 | 4.78 |
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Defenders (10+ CBIT threshold), midfielders and forwards (12+ CBIT threshold) ranked by projected DefCon bonus. DefCon % is the probability of reaching the threshold (per gameweek); Proj. P (DefCon) is the contribution to total projected points (2 points awarded on trigger).
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Price | DefCon % | Proj. P (DefCon) | Proj. Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danso | SUN | DEF | £5.0m | 67% | 1.34 | 2.68 |
| 2 | Canvot | CRY | DEF | £4.9m | 65% | 1.30 | 3.72 |
| 3 | Richards | CRY | DEF | £5.0m | 65% | 1.30 | 3.73 |
| 4 | Muharemović | LEE | DEF | £5.0m | 65% | 1.30 | 4.79 |
| 5 | Egan | HUL | DEF | £4.1m | 63% | 1.26 | 2.95 |
| 6 | Hill | BOU | DEF | £5.5m | 63% | 1.25 | 3.62 |
| 7 | Scott | BOU | MID | £6.1m | 57% | 1.15 | 4.18 |
| 8 | Greaves | IPS | DEF | £4.0m | 57% | 1.14 | 3.35 |
| 9 | Mendy | HUL | DEF | £4.1m | 57% | 1.14 | 2.78 |
| 10 | Ballard | SUN | DEF | £4.9m | 56% | 1.13 | 2.66 |
| 11 | Lacroix | CHE | DEF | £6.0m | 56% | 1.11 | 3.93 |
| 12 | Silva | BOU | DEF | £5.0m | 50% | 1.01 | 3.32 |
| 13 | Anderson | MCI | MID | £6.3m | 50% | 1.00 | 4.68 |
| 14 | Garner | EVE | MID | £6.0m | 49% | 0.98 | 4.65 |
| 15 | Fofana | CHE | DEF | £5.0m | 48% | 0.97 | 3.39 |
For your specific squad, get a free personalised plan at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Teams ranked by total projected goals scored in Gameweek 5. Easiest attacking fixtures appear at the top — a strong signal for picking attackers from these sides.
| # | Team | Fixtures | Proj. G For | Proj. G Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | vs SUN | 2.36 | 0.72 |
| 2 | Newcastle | vs HUL | 2.09 | 0.93 |
| 3 | Liverpool | @ BOU | 1.90 | 1.52 |
| 4 | Nott'm Forest | vs COV | 1.81 | 1.01 |
| 5 | Man Utd | @ FUL | 1.80 | 1.34 |
| 6 | Arsenal | @ BHA | 1.79 | 0.98 |
| 7 | Everton | vs IPS | 1.75 | 1.04 |
| 8 | Chelsea | @ BRE | 1.74 | 1.54 |
| 9 | Spurs | vs AVL | 1.69 | 1.20 |
| 10 | Leeds United | vs CRY | 1.62 | 1.11 |
For your specific squad, get a free personalised plan at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Managers' most-moved players this gameweek. Popularity doesn't always equal value — compare transfer volume against our projected points column.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Price | Transfers In | Own% | Proj. Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rogers | CHE | MID | £7.7m | 213,308 | 36.1% | 4.76 |
| 2 | Belloumi | HUL | MID | £5.0m | 110,062 | 2.1% | 3.63 |
| 3 | Schade | BRE | MID | £6.0m | 105,322 | 4.8% | 4.09 |
| 4 | João Pedro | CHE | FWD | £7.8m | 101,985 | 74.6% | 5.26 |
| 5 | Konsa | ARS | DEF | £4.5m | 97,220 | 17.5% | 3.82 |
| 6 | Gvardiol | MCI | DEF | £5.6m | 94,814 | 21.2% | 4.74 |
| 7 | Tarkowski | EVE | DEF | £6.0m | 89,058 | 12.5% | 4.56 |
| 8 | Groß | BHA | MID | £5.6m | 88,692 | 16.8% | 3.48 |
| 9 | Ajayi | HUL | DEF | £4.2m | 87,041 | 13.3% | 2.30 |
| 10 | Ødegaard | ARS | MID | £6.7m | 86,625 | 18.8% | 4.05 |
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Managers' most-moved players this gameweek. Popularity doesn't always equal value — compare transfer volume against our projected points column.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Price | Transfers Out | Own% | Proj. Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Szoboszlai | LIV | MID | £7.0m | 134,646 | 37.4% | 4.69 |
| 2 | Tzolis | ARS | MID | £6.4m | 76,915 | 15.3% | 3.54 |
| 3 | Shaw | MUN | DEF | £4.4m | 72,215 | 11.2% | 3.04 |
| 4 | Pedro Porro | TOT | DEF | £5.5m | 70,434 | 9.9% | 4.19 |
| 5 | Cherki | MCI | MID | £7.8m | 65,243 | 29.0% | 2.62 |
| 6 | Thiago | BRE | FWD | £7.9m | 62,926 | 10.1% | 4.66 |
| 7 | White | ARS | DEF | £5.5m | 59,796 | 7.1% | 1.43 |
| 8 | Isak | LIV | FWD | £9.1m | 58,825 | 22.5% | 4.95 |
| 9 | B.Fernandes | MUN | MID | £12.0m | 57,486 | 42.5% | 5.99 |
| 10 | Gakpo | LIV | MID | £7.2m | 54,772 | 12.2% | 3.75 |
Get your own projections and plan the rest of your season at fpl.solioanalytics.com — free for the next 5 gameweeks, full season for members.
Solio Analytics' top captaincy pick for Gameweek 5 is Haaland (MCI) with 7.42 projected points, giving a captaincy return of 14.83 projected points.
Man City has the strongest clean sheet odds for Gameweek 5 at 49% based on projected goals conceded.
Barnes at £6.0m leads budget midfielders with 4.91 projected points.
Haaland (£15.5m) leads premium picks (£10.0m+) with 7.42 projected points.
Solio Analytics runs one of the sharpest public FPL projection models — combining efficient sports markets with a stochastic minutes, goals, assists, clean sheet and bonus model — paired with state-of-the-art optimisation solvers that plan transfers and chip usage across the full branching gameweek tree.
Yes — the planner at fpl.solioanalytics.com is free for the next 5 gameweeks of planning. Members get full-season optimisation and additional features.
This page refreshes every 4 hours. Ownership and transfer counts come from live FPL data on each refresh. Projections update whenever underlying market data moves.
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