Solio Analytics is a Fantasy Premier League projection and optimisation tool, pairing one of the sharpest public projection models with state-of-the-art solvers for transfer and chip planning. This page publishes our latest Gameweek 1 projections, best captain picks, highest-leverage differentials, team-level clean sheet odds, and transfer trends. Data refreshes every 4 hours. For squad-specific recommendations across the rest of your season — free for the next 5 gameweeks, full season for members — use the planner at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Players ranked by Solio Analytics' projected points for Gameweek 1. Double gameweek players accumulate projected points across both fixtures.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Opp | Price | Proj. Points | Own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B.Fernandes | MUN | MID | HUL (A) | £12.0m | 6.80 | 48.4% |
| 2 | Haaland | MCI | FWD | BOU (H) | £15.5m | 6.16 | 71.8% |
| 3 | Mbeumo | MUN | MID | HUL (A) | £8.0m | 6.14 | 29.0% |
| 4 | Gabriel | ARS | DEF | COV (H) | £8.0m | 6.00 | 28.2% |
| 5 | Mosquera | ARS | DEF | COV (H) | £5.5m | 5.58 | 12.3% |
| 6 | Semenyo | MCI | MID | BOU (H) | £8.5m | 5.39 | 27.1% |
| 7 | Gibbs-White | NFO | MID | LEE (H) | £8.0m | 5.29 | 11.7% |
| 8 | Palmer | CHE | MID | FUL (A) | £9.5m | 5.19 | 10.8% |
| 9 | Isak | LIV | FWD | NEW (A) | £9.0m | 5.05 | 14.7% |
| 10 | Ndiaye | EVE | MID | CRY (H) | £6.0m | 4.82 | 15.6% |
| 11 | Richarlison | TOT | FWD | BRE (A) | £6.0m | 4.81 | 2.4% |
| 12 | Amad | MUN | MID | HUL (A) | £6.0m | 4.81 | 1.6% |
| 13 | João Pedro | CHE | FWD | FUL (A) | £7.5m | 4.77 | 58.5% |
| 14 | Bruno G. | ARS | MID | COV (H) | £7.0m | 4.74 | 9.5% |
| 15 | Szoboszlai | LIV | MID | NEW (A) | £7.0m | 4.70 | 41.4% |
| 16 | Tzolis | ARS | MID | COV (H) | £6.5m | 4.68 | 10.7% |
| 17 | Groß | BHA | MID | AVL (H) | £5.5m | 4.63 | 11.5% |
| 18 | Tarkowski | EVE | DEF | CRY (H) | £6.0m | 4.62 | 9.6% |
| 19 | Thiago | BRE | FWD | TOT (H) | £8.0m | 4.58 | 17.1% |
| 20 | Raya | ARS | GKP | COV (H) | £6.0m | 4.58 | 33.0% |
| 21 | Dalot | MUN | DEF | HUL (A) | £5.0m | 4.57 | 3.0% |
| 22 | Calafiori | ARS | DEF | COV (H) | £5.5m | 4.54 | 23.1% |
| 23 | Wirtz | LIV | MID | NEW (A) | £7.5m | 4.53 | 14.7% |
| 24 | Dewsbury-Hall | EVE | MID | CRY (H) | £6.5m | 4.48 | 3.5% |
| 25 | Havertz | ARS | FWD | COV (H) | £7.5m | 4.46 | 4.0% |
| 26 | N.Williams | NFO | DEF | LEE (H) | £5.0m | 4.44 | 11.4% |
| 27 | Cunha | MUN | MID | HUL (A) | £8.0m | 4.43 | 11.6% |
| 28 | E.Le Fée | SUN | MID | IPS (A) | £6.0m | 4.41 | 12.3% |
| 29 | Gomez | BHA | MID | AVL (H) | £5.0m | 4.39 | 2.8% |
| 30 | Watkins | AVL | FWD | BHA (A) | £8.0m | 4.35 | 12.5% |
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Top captaincy candidates ranked by projected points. The captain scores double, so Proj. Points × 2 is the projected captaincy return.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Opp | Proj. Points | Captain Proj. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B.Fernandes | MUN | MID | HUL (A) | 6.80 | 13.61 |
| 2 | Haaland | MCI | FWD | BOU (H) | 6.16 | 12.31 |
| 3 | Mbeumo | MUN | MID | HUL (A) | 6.14 | 12.28 |
| 4 | Gabriel | ARS | DEF | COV (H) | 6.00 | 12.01 |
| 5 | Mosquera | ARS | DEF | COV (H) | 5.58 | 11.15 |
| 6 | Semenyo | MCI | MID | BOU (H) | 5.39 | 10.77 |
| 7 | Gibbs-White | NFO | MID | LEE (H) | 5.29 | 10.59 |
| 8 | Palmer | CHE | MID | FUL (A) | 5.19 | 10.38 |
| 9 | Isak | LIV | FWD | NEW (A) | 5.05 | 10.10 |
| 10 | Ndiaye | EVE | MID | CRY (H) | 4.82 | 9.64 |
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Differential value — ranked by leverage = Proj. Points × (1 − ownership%). A high-leverage differential gains you rank when it hauls; lower ownership means more upside relative to the template.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Price | Proj. Points | Own% | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mosquera | ARS | DEF | £5.5m | 5.58 | 12.3% | 4.89 |
| 2 | Amad | MUN | MID | £6.0m | 4.81 | 1.6% | 4.73 |
| 3 | Richarlison | TOT | FWD | £6.0m | 4.81 | 2.4% | 4.70 |
| 4 | Gibbs-White | NFO | MID | £8.0m | 5.29 | 11.7% | 4.68 |
| 5 | Palmer | CHE | MID | £9.5m | 5.19 | 10.8% | 4.63 |
| 6 | Dalot | MUN | DEF | £5.0m | 4.57 | 3.0% | 4.43 |
| 7 | Mbeumo | MUN | MID | £8.0m | 6.14 | 29.0% | 4.36 |
| 8 | Dewsbury-Hall | EVE | MID | £6.5m | 4.48 | 3.5% | 4.32 |
| 9 | Gabriel | ARS | DEF | £8.0m | 6.00 | 28.2% | 4.31 |
| 10 | Isak | LIV | FWD | £9.0m | 5.05 | 14.7% | 4.31 |
| 11 | Bruno G. | ARS | MID | £7.0m | 4.74 | 9.5% | 4.29 |
| 12 | Havertz | ARS | FWD | £7.5m | 4.46 | 4.0% | 4.28 |
| 13 | Gomez | BHA | MID | £5.0m | 4.39 | 2.8% | 4.26 |
| 14 | Hinshelwood | BHA | MID | £6.0m | 4.25 | 0.3% | 4.24 |
| 15 | Gakpo | LIV | MID | £7.0m | 4.34 | 3.5% | 4.19 |
For your specific squad, get a free personalised plan at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Players ranked by projected goals (prG) across all Gameweek 1 fixtures, penalties included. Projected points from goals shows the contribution to total projected points.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Price | prG | Proj. P (Goals) | Proj. Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haaland | MCI | FWD | £15.5m | 0.71 | 2.83 | 6.16 |
| 2 | Mbeumo | MUN | MID | £8.0m | 0.51 | 2.56 | 6.14 |
| 3 | Isak | LIV | FWD | £9.0m | 0.51 | 2.04 | 5.05 |
| 4 | Thiago | BRE | FWD | £8.0m | 0.44 | 1.76 | 4.58 |
| 5 | Richarlison | TOT | FWD | £6.0m | 0.42 | 1.68 | 4.81 |
| 6 | Havertz | ARS | FWD | £7.5m | 0.40 | 1.60 | 4.46 |
| 7 | João Pedro | CHE | FWD | £7.5m | 0.39 | 1.58 | 4.77 |
| 8 | Semenyo | MCI | MID | £8.5m | 0.38 | 1.90 | 5.39 |
| 9 | Watkins | AVL | FWD | £8.0m | 0.37 | 1.49 | 4.35 |
| 10 | Brobbey | SUN | FWD | £6.0m | 0.36 | 1.46 | 4.14 |
| 11 | Palmer | CHE | MID | £9.5m | 0.36 | 1.81 | 5.19 |
| 12 | Calvert-Lewin | LEE | FWD | £6.0m | 0.36 | 1.44 | 4.01 |
| 13 | B.Fernandes | MUN | MID | £12.0m | 0.35 | 1.73 | 6.80 |
| 14 | Gibbs-White | NFO | MID | £8.0m | 0.34 | 1.70 | 5.29 |
| 15 | Gonzalo | FUL | FWD | £6.0m | 0.34 | 1.35 | 3.89 |
For your specific squad, get a free personalised plan at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Players ranked by projected assists (prA) across all Gameweek 1 fixtures.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Price | prA | Proj. P (Assists) | Proj. Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B.Fernandes | MUN | MID | £12.0m | 0.53 | 1.60 | 6.80 |
| 2 | Doku | MCI | MID | £7.5m | 0.33 | 0.98 | 4.03 |
| 3 | Cherki | MCI | MID | £7.5m | 0.32 | 0.95 | 3.51 |
| 4 | Gibbs-White | NFO | MID | £8.0m | 0.27 | 0.80 | 5.29 |
| 5 | Tzolis | ARS | MID | £6.5m | 0.27 | 0.80 | 4.68 |
| 6 | Dewsbury-Hall | EVE | MID | £6.5m | 0.27 | 0.80 | 4.48 |
| 7 | Bruno G. | ARS | MID | £7.0m | 0.26 | 0.78 | 4.74 |
| 8 | Groß | BHA | MID | £5.5m | 0.26 | 0.77 | 4.63 |
| 9 | Ødegaard | ARS | MID | £6.5m | 0.25 | 0.75 | 3.39 |
| 10 | Szoboszlai | LIV | MID | £7.0m | 0.25 | 0.75 | 4.70 |
| 11 | Amad | MUN | MID | £6.0m | 0.24 | 0.72 | 4.81 |
| 12 | Saka | ARS | MID | £9.5m | 0.24 | 0.71 | 3.41 |
| 13 | O.Dango | BRE | MID | £6.5m | 0.24 | 0.71 | 4.21 |
| 14 | E.Le Fée | SUN | MID | £6.0m | 0.23 | 0.70 | 4.41 |
| 15 | Frimpong | LIV | DEF | £5.5m | 0.23 | 0.69 | 3.46 |
For your specific squad, get a free personalised plan at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Clean sheet probability per team based on projected goals conceded. For double gameweek teams this is the probability of at least one clean sheet across both fixtures.
| # | Team | Fixtures | Proj. G Against | CS % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | vs COV | 0.51 | 60% |
| 2 | Man Utd | @ HUL | 0.78 | 46% |
| 3 | Man City | vs BOU | 1.09 | 34% |
| 4 | Everton | vs CRY | 1.16 | 31% |
| 5 | Nott'm Forest | vs LEE | 1.20 | 30% |
| 6 | Chelsea | @ FUL | 1.30 | 27% |
| 7 | Sunderland | @ IPS | 1.32 | 27% |
| 8 | Ipswich | vs SUN | 1.34 | 26% |
| 9 | Brighton | vs AVL | 1.40 | 25% |
| 10 | Liverpool | @ NEW | 1.41 | 24% |
For your specific squad, get a free personalised plan at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Players ranked by projected bonus points (BPS-derived) across all Gameweek 1 fixtures. Shown as projected bonus contribution to total projected points.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Price | Proj. P (Bonus) | Proj. Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haaland | MCI | FWD | £15.5m | 1.05 | 6.16 |
| 2 | B.Fernandes | MUN | MID | £12.0m | 1.02 | 6.80 |
| 3 | Richarlison | TOT | FWD | £6.0m | 0.83 | 4.81 |
| 4 | Isak | LIV | FWD | £9.0m | 0.80 | 5.05 |
| 5 | João Pedro | CHE | FWD | £7.5m | 0.71 | 4.77 |
| 6 | Palmer | CHE | MID | £9.5m | 0.68 | 5.19 |
| 7 | Thiago | BRE | FWD | £8.0m | 0.65 | 4.58 |
| 8 | Havertz | ARS | FWD | £7.5m | 0.65 | 4.46 |
| 9 | Mbeumo | MUN | MID | £8.0m | 0.63 | 6.14 |
| 10 | Semenyo | MCI | MID | £8.5m | 0.62 | 5.39 |
| 11 | Watkins | AVL | FWD | £8.0m | 0.61 | 4.35 |
| 12 | Gibbs-White | NFO | MID | £8.0m | 0.61 | 5.29 |
| 13 | Brobbey | SUN | FWD | £6.0m | 0.59 | 4.14 |
| 14 | Ndiaye | EVE | MID | £6.0m | 0.59 | 4.82 |
| 15 | Bruno G. | ARS | MID | £7.0m | 0.59 | 4.74 |
For your specific squad, get a free personalised plan at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Defenders (10+ CBIT threshold), midfielders and forwards (12+ CBIT threshold) ranked by projected DefCon bonus. DefCon % is the probability of reaching the threshold (per gameweek); Proj. P (DefCon) is the contribution to total projected points (2 points awarded on trigger).
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Price | DefCon % | Proj. P (DefCon) | Proj. Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hill | BOU | DEF | £5.5m | 71% | 1.42 | 3.07 |
| 2 | Canvot | CRY | DEF | £5.0m | 69% | 1.38 | 3.99 |
| 3 | Richards | CRY | DEF | £5.0m | 63% | 1.26 | 3.91 |
| 4 | Tarkowski | EVE | DEF | £6.0m | 55% | 1.09 | 4.62 |
| 5 | Thomas | COV | DEF | £4.0m | 53% | 1.05 | 2.25 |
| 6 | Egan | HUL | DEF | £4.0m | 51% | 1.03 | 2.71 |
| 7 | Sangaré | BRE | MID | £5.5m | 50% | 0.99 | 3.88 |
| 8 | Scott | BOU | MID | £6.0m | 49% | 0.99 | 3.56 |
| 9 | Ballard | SUN | DEF | £5.0m | 48% | 0.97 | 4.12 |
| 10 | Van Hecke | TOT | DEF | £5.0m | 48% | 0.96 | 3.56 |
| 11 | Muharemović | LEE | DEF | £5.0m | 48% | 0.96 | 3.61 |
| 12 | Murillo | NFO | DEF | £5.5m | 47% | 0.95 | 4.03 |
| 13 | Silva | BOU | DEF | £5.0m | 46% | 0.93 | 2.57 |
| 14 | Anderson | MCI | MID | £6.5m | 45% | 0.91 | 4.22 |
| 15 | Ampadu | LEE | MID | £5.5m | 44% | 0.89 | 3.33 |
For your specific squad, get a free personalised plan at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Teams ranked by total projected goals scored in Gameweek 1. Easiest attacking fixtures appear at the top — a strong signal for picking attackers from these sides.
| # | Team | Fixtures | Proj. G For | Proj. G Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | vs COV | 2.58 | 0.51 |
| 2 | Man City | vs BOU | 2.34 | 1.09 |
| 3 | Man Utd | @ HUL | 2.13 | 0.78 |
| 4 | Liverpool | @ NEW | 1.97 | 1.41 |
| 5 | Chelsea | @ FUL | 1.76 | 1.30 |
| 6 | Brighton | vs AVL | 1.67 | 1.40 |
| 7 | Brentford | vs TOT | 1.53 | 1.44 |
| 8 | Everton | vs CRY | 1.51 | 1.16 |
| 9 | Nott'm Forest | vs LEE | 1.45 | 1.20 |
| 10 | Spurs | @ BRE | 1.44 | 1.53 |
For your specific squad, get a free personalised plan at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Solio Analytics' top captaincy pick for Gameweek 1 is B.Fernandes (MUN) with 6.80 projected points, giving a captaincy return of 13.61 projected points.
Arsenal has the strongest clean sheet odds for Gameweek 1 at 60% based on projected goals conceded.
Ndiaye at £6.0m leads budget midfielders with 4.82 projected points.
B.Fernandes (£12.0m) leads premium picks (£10.0m+) with 6.80 projected points.
Solio Analytics runs one of the sharpest public FPL projection models — combining efficient sports markets with a stochastic minutes, goals, assists, clean sheet and bonus model — paired with state-of-the-art optimisation solvers that plan transfers and chip usage across the full branching gameweek tree.
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This page refreshes every 4 hours. Ownership and transfer counts come from live FPL data on each refresh. Projections update whenever underlying market data moves.
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