Solio Analytics is a Fantasy Premier League projection and optimisation tool, pairing one of the sharpest public projection models with state-of-the-art solvers for transfer and chip planning. This page publishes our latest Gameweek 38 projections, best captain picks, highest-leverage differentials, team-level clean sheet odds, and transfer trends. Data refreshes every 4 hours. For squad-specific recommendations across the rest of your season — free for the next 5 gameweeks, full season for members — use the planner at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Players ranked by Solio Analytics' projected points for Gameweek 38. Double gameweek players accumulate projected points across both fixtures.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Opp | Price | Proj. Points | Own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haaland | MCI | FWD | AVL (H) | £14.7m | 5.67 | 64.4% |
| 2 | Bowen | WHU | FWD | LEE (H) | £7.7m | 5.12 | 13.0% |
| 3 | Welbeck | BHA | FWD | MUN (H) | £6.4m | 5.01 | 9.0% |
| 4 | Palmer | CHE | MID | SUN (A) | £10.3m | 4.94 | 12.5% |
| 5 | B.Fernandes | MUN | MID | BHA (A) | £10.4m | 4.87 | 47.7% |
| 6 | Mavropanos | WHU | DEF | LEE (H) | £4.5m | 4.71 | 2.0% |
| 7 | Pedro Porro | TOT | DEF | EVE (H) | £5.2m | 4.68 | 10.8% |
| 8 | Szoboszlai | LIV | MID | BRE (H) | £7.0m | 4.65 | 13.5% |
| 9 | Anthony | BUR | MID | WOL (H) | £5.0m | 4.62 | 1.9% |
| 10 | M.Salah | LIV | MID | BRE (H) | £14.0m | 4.60 | 13.8% |
| 11 | Gakpo | LIV | MID | BRE (H) | £7.3m | 4.55 | 5.6% |
| 12 | Gabriel | ARS | DEF | CRY (A) | £7.3m | 4.51 | 46.1% |
| 13 | Scott | BOU | MID | NFO (A) | £4.9m | 4.50 | 2.1% |
| 14 | Richarlison | TOT | FWD | EVE (H) | £6.4m | 4.47 | 6.4% |
| 15 | Summerville | WHU | MID | LEE (H) | £5.4m | 4.46 | 1.3% |
| 16 | Danso | TOT | DEF | EVE (H) | £4.2m | 4.44 | 0.2% |
| 17 | Tavernier | BOU | MID | NFO (A) | £5.3m | 4.38 | 4.3% |
| 18 | Flemming | BUR | FWD | WOL (H) | £5.3m | 4.36 | 0.4% |
| 19 | Ndiaye | EVE | MID | TOT (A) | £6.3m | 4.35 | 4.7% |
| 20 | Anderson | NFO | MID | BOU (H) | £5.6m | 4.33 | 8.0% |
| 21 | Saka | ARS | MID | CRY (A) | £10.0m | 4.32 | 13.0% |
| 22 | Bruno G. | NEW | MID | FUL (A) | £6.9m | 4.31 | 6.2% |
| 23 | Enzo | CHE | MID | SUN (A) | £6.4m | 4.28 | 11.0% |
| 24 | Thiago | BRE | FWD | LIV (A) | £7.3m | 4.27 | 31.8% |
| 25 | Garner | EVE | MID | TOT (A) | £5.2m | 4.27 | 3.8% |
| 26 | Tel | TOT | MID | EVE (H) | £6.2m | 4.20 | 0.3% |
| 27 | Kroupi.Jr | BOU | FWD | NFO (A) | £4.6m | 4.18 | 6.4% |
| 28 | Groß | BHA | MID | MUN (H) | £5.6m | 4.14 | 3.2% |
| 29 | Senesi | BOU | DEF | NFO (A) | £5.2m | 4.13 | 21.2% |
| 30 | Hill | BOU | DEF | NFO (A) | £4.2m | 4.12 | 7.3% |
For your specific squad, get a free personalised plan at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Top captaincy candidates ranked by projected points. The captain scores double, so Proj. Points × 2 is the projected captaincy return.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Opp | Proj. Points | Captain Proj. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haaland | MCI | FWD | AVL (H) | 5.67 | 11.34 |
| 2 | Bowen | WHU | FWD | LEE (H) | 5.12 | 10.24 |
| 3 | Welbeck | BHA | FWD | MUN (H) | 5.01 | 10.02 |
| 4 | Palmer | CHE | MID | SUN (A) | 4.94 | 9.87 |
| 5 | B.Fernandes | MUN | MID | BHA (A) | 4.87 | 9.74 |
| 6 | Mavropanos | WHU | DEF | LEE (H) | 4.71 | 9.42 |
| 7 | Pedro Porro | TOT | DEF | EVE (H) | 4.68 | 9.36 |
| 8 | Szoboszlai | LIV | MID | BRE (H) | 4.65 | 9.30 |
| 9 | Anthony | BUR | MID | WOL (H) | 4.62 | 9.24 |
| 10 | M.Salah | LIV | MID | BRE (H) | 4.60 | 9.21 |
For your specific squad, get a free personalised plan at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Differential value — ranked by leverage = Proj. Points × (1 − ownership%). A high-leverage differential gains you rank when it hauls; lower ownership means more upside relative to the template.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Price | Proj. Points | Own% | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavropanos | WHU | DEF | £4.5m | 4.71 | 2.0% | 4.61 |
| 2 | Welbeck | BHA | FWD | £6.4m | 5.01 | 9.0% | 4.56 |
| 3 | Anthony | BUR | MID | £5.0m | 4.62 | 1.9% | 4.53 |
| 4 | Bowen | WHU | FWD | £7.7m | 5.12 | 13.0% | 4.46 |
| 5 | Danso | TOT | DEF | £4.2m | 4.44 | 0.2% | 4.43 |
| 6 | Scott | BOU | MID | £4.9m | 4.50 | 2.1% | 4.41 |
| 7 | Summerville | WHU | MID | £5.4m | 4.46 | 1.3% | 4.40 |
| 8 | Flemming | BUR | FWD | £5.3m | 4.36 | 0.4% | 4.35 |
| 9 | Palmer | CHE | MID | £10.3m | 4.94 | 12.5% | 4.32 |
| 10 | Gakpo | LIV | MID | £7.3m | 4.55 | 5.6% | 4.29 |
| 11 | Tavernier | BOU | MID | £5.3m | 4.38 | 4.3% | 4.19 |
| 12 | Tel | TOT | MID | £6.2m | 4.20 | 0.3% | 4.19 |
| 13 | Richarlison | TOT | FWD | £6.4m | 4.47 | 6.4% | 4.19 |
| 14 | Pedro Porro | TOT | DEF | £5.2m | 4.68 | 10.8% | 4.18 |
| 15 | Ndiaye | EVE | MID | £6.3m | 4.35 | 4.7% | 4.15 |
For your specific squad, get a free personalised plan at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Players ranked by projected goals (prG) across all Gameweek 38 fixtures, penalties included. Projected points from goals shows the contribution to total projected points.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Price | prG | Proj. P (Goals) | Proj. Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haaland | MCI | FWD | £14.7m | 0.72 | 2.89 | 5.67 |
| 2 | Welbeck | BHA | FWD | £6.4m | 0.52 | 2.09 | 5.01 |
| 3 | Richarlison | TOT | FWD | £6.4m | 0.43 | 1.70 | 4.47 |
| 4 | Thiago | BRE | FWD | £7.3m | 0.42 | 1.69 | 4.27 |
| 5 | Flemming | BUR | FWD | £5.3m | 0.41 | 1.63 | 4.36 |
| 6 | Bowen | WHU | FWD | £7.7m | 0.40 | 1.60 | 5.12 |
| 7 | Kroupi.Jr | BOU | FWD | £4.6m | 0.37 | 1.48 | 4.18 |
| 8 | M.Salah | LIV | MID | £14.0m | 0.35 | 1.75 | 4.60 |
| 9 | Calvert-Lewin | LEE | FWD | £5.8m | 0.34 | 1.35 | 3.86 |
| 10 | Palmer | CHE | MID | £10.3m | 0.33 | 1.67 | 4.94 |
| 11 | Taty | WHU | FWD | £5.5m | 0.31 | 1.24 | 3.95 |
| 12 | Evanilson | BOU | FWD | £6.6m | 0.31 | 1.24 | 3.83 |
| 13 | Semenyo | MCI | MID | £8.1m | 0.31 | 1.54 | 4.11 |
| 14 | Gakpo | LIV | MID | £7.3m | 0.30 | 1.51 | 4.55 |
| 15 | Gyökeres | ARS | FWD | £9.1m | 0.30 | 1.20 | 3.07 |
For your specific squad, get a free personalised plan at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Players ranked by projected assists (prA) across all Gameweek 38 fixtures.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Price | prA | Proj. P (Assists) | Proj. Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B.Fernandes | MUN | MID | £10.4m | 0.30 | 0.91 | 4.87 |
| 2 | Doku | MCI | MID | £6.5m | 0.30 | 0.90 | 3.74 |
| 3 | Cherki | MCI | MID | £6.6m | 0.30 | 0.90 | 3.50 |
| 4 | Bowen | WHU | FWD | £7.7m | 0.30 | 0.90 | 5.12 |
| 5 | Minteh | BHA | MID | £5.5m | 0.26 | 0.77 | 4.08 |
| 6 | Neto | CHE | MID | £7.0m | 0.25 | 0.76 | 3.83 |
| 7 | Palmer | CHE | MID | £10.3m | 0.25 | 0.74 | 4.94 |
| 8 | Pedro Porro | TOT | DEF | £5.2m | 0.25 | 0.74 | 4.68 |
| 9 | Saka | ARS | MID | £10.0m | 0.25 | 0.74 | 4.32 |
| 10 | Groß | BHA | MID | £5.6m | 0.24 | 0.73 | 4.14 |
| 11 | Summerville | WHU | MID | £5.4m | 0.24 | 0.72 | 4.46 |
| 12 | Gakpo | LIV | MID | £7.3m | 0.23 | 0.69 | 4.55 |
| 13 | Wirtz | LIV | MID | £8.3m | 0.23 | 0.68 | 4.07 |
| 14 | Tavernier | BOU | MID | £5.3m | 0.23 | 0.68 | 4.38 |
| 15 | Rice | ARS | MID | £7.2m | 0.22 | 0.67 | 4.02 |
For your specific squad, get a free personalised plan at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Clean sheet probability per team based on projected goals conceded. For double gameweek teams this is the probability of at least one clean sheet across both fixtures.
| # | Team | Fixtures | Proj. G Against | CS % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | vs EVE | 1.17 | 31% |
| 2 | Man City | vs AVL | 1.18 | 31% |
| 3 | West Ham | vs LEE | 1.18 | 31% |
| 4 | Arsenal | @ CRY | 1.19 | 31% |
| 5 | Chelsea | @ SUN | 1.21 | 30% |
| 6 | Liverpool | vs BRE | 1.33 | 26% |
| 7 | Bournemouth | @ NFO | 1.40 | 25% |
| 8 | Burnley | vs WOL | 1.40 | 25% |
| 9 | Brighton | vs MUN | 1.44 | 24% |
| 10 | Newcastle | @ FUL | 1.44 | 24% |
For your specific squad, get a free personalised plan at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Players ranked by projected bonus points (BPS-derived) across all Gameweek 38 fixtures. Shown as projected bonus contribution to total projected points.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Price | Proj. P (Bonus) | Proj. Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haaland | MCI | FWD | £14.7m | 0.82 | 5.67 |
| 2 | Bowen | WHU | FWD | £7.7m | 0.73 | 5.12 |
| 3 | Richarlison | TOT | FWD | £6.4m | 0.67 | 4.47 |
| 4 | Welbeck | BHA | FWD | £6.4m | 0.66 | 5.01 |
| 5 | B.Fernandes | MUN | MID | £10.4m | 0.63 | 4.87 |
| 6 | Flemming | BUR | FWD | £5.3m | 0.57 | 4.36 |
| 7 | Kroupi.Jr | BOU | FWD | £4.6m | 0.52 | 4.18 |
| 8 | Anthony | BUR | MID | £5.0m | 0.51 | 4.62 |
| 9 | Thiago | BRE | FWD | £7.3m | 0.49 | 4.27 |
| 10 | Szoboszlai | LIV | MID | £7.0m | 0.49 | 4.65 |
| 11 | Ngumoha | LIV | MID | £4.3m | 0.48 | 3.64 |
| 12 | Enzo | CHE | MID | £6.4m | 0.47 | 4.28 |
| 13 | Cherki | MCI | MID | £6.6m | 0.47 | 3.50 |
| 14 | Bruno G. | NEW | MID | £6.9m | 0.47 | 4.31 |
| 15 | Taty | WHU | FWD | £5.5m | 0.46 | 3.95 |
For your specific squad, get a free personalised plan at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Defenders (10+ CBIT threshold) and midfielders (12+ CBIT threshold) ranked by projected DefCon bonus. DefCon % is the probability of reaching the threshold (per gameweek); Proj. P (DefCon) is the contribution to total projected points (2 points awarded on trigger).
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Price | DefCon % | Proj. P (DefCon) | Proj. Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anderson | NFO | MID | £5.6m | 67% | 1.34 | 4.33 |
| 2 | Garner | EVE | MID | £5.2m | 59% | 1.18 | 4.27 |
| 3 | Lacroix | CRY | DEF | £5.2m | 59% | 1.17 | 3.44 |
| 4 | Hill | BOU | DEF | £4.2m | 58% | 1.17 | 4.12 |
| 5 | Scott | BOU | MID | £4.9m | 58% | 1.16 | 4.50 |
| 6 | Keane | EVE | DEF | £4.5m | 58% | 1.16 | 3.69 |
| 7 | Danso | TOT | DEF | £4.2m | 58% | 1.15 | 4.44 |
| 8 | Mavropanos | WHU | DEF | £4.5m | 57% | 1.13 | 4.71 |
| 9 | Senesi | BOU | DEF | £5.2m | 56% | 1.12 | 4.13 |
| 10 | Tarkowski | EVE | DEF | £5.8m | 56% | 1.12 | 3.70 |
| 11 | André | WOL | MID | £5.2m | 55% | 1.10 | 3.33 |
| 12 | J.Gomes | WOL | MID | £5.3m | 53% | 1.07 | 3.74 |
| 13 | Adams | BOU | MID | £4.9m | 51% | 1.01 | 3.41 |
| 14 | Richards | CRY | DEF | £4.4m | 47% | 0.94 | 3.08 |
| 15 | Canvot | CRY | DEF | £4.5m | 47% | 0.94 | 2.98 |
For your specific squad, get a free personalised plan at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Teams ranked by total projected goals scored in Gameweek 38. Easiest attacking fixtures appear at the top — a strong signal for picking attackers from these sides.
| # | Team | Fixtures | Proj. G For | Proj. G Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | vs AVL | 2.54 | 1.18 |
| 2 | Liverpool | vs BRE | 1.94 | 1.33 |
| 3 | Brighton | vs MUN | 1.88 | 1.44 |
| 4 | Arsenal | @ CRY | 1.83 | 1.19 |
| 5 | West Ham | vs LEE | 1.77 | 1.18 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | @ NFO | 1.74 | 1.40 |
| 7 | Spurs | vs EVE | 1.65 | 1.17 |
| 8 | Newcastle | @ FUL | 1.62 | 1.44 |
| 9 | Chelsea | @ SUN | 1.61 | 1.21 |
| 10 | Burnley | vs WOL | 1.50 | 1.40 |
For your specific squad, get a free personalised plan at fpl.solioanalytics.com.
Managers' most-moved players this gameweek. Popularity doesn't always equal value — compare transfer volume against our projected points column.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Price | Transfers In | Own% | Proj. Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bowen | WHU | FWD | £7.7m | 83,734 | 13.0% | 5.12 |
| 2 | Anderson | NFO | MID | £5.6m | 75,722 | 8.0% | 4.33 |
| 3 | Gibbs-White | NFO | MID | £7.5m | 66,725 | 7.4% | 4.11 |
| 4 | Szoboszlai | LIV | MID | £7.0m | 58,592 | 13.5% | 4.65 |
| 5 | Virgil | LIV | DEF | £6.0m | 54,122 | 30.4% | 4.03 |
| 6 | Calvert-Lewin | LEE | FWD | £5.8m | 51,861 | 13.4% | 3.86 |
| 7 | Senesi | BOU | DEF | £5.2m | 44,004 | 21.2% | 4.13 |
| 8 | Osula | NEW | FWD | £5.5m | 42,275 | 1.4% | 3.57 |
| 9 | Watkins | AVL | FWD | £8.7m | 40,046 | 13.4% | 3.38 |
| 10 | Kroupi.Jr | BOU | FWD | £4.6m | 32,991 | 6.4% | 4.18 |
Get your own projections and plan the rest of your season at fpl.solioanalytics.com — free for the next 5 gameweeks, full season for members.
Managers' most-moved players this gameweek. Popularity doesn't always equal value — compare transfer volume against our projected points column.
| # | Player | Team | Pos | Price | Transfers Out | Own% | Proj. Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thiago | BRE | FWD | £7.3m | 92,686 | 31.8% | 4.27 |
| 2 | Wilson | FUL | MID | £5.9m | 71,153 | 18.6% | 1.27 |
| 3 | João Pedro | CHE | FWD | £7.4m | 52,179 | 37.7% | 1.93 |
| 4 | Rogers | AVL | MID | £7.3m | 48,711 | 21.1% | 3.36 |
| 5 | Cherki | MCI | MID | £6.6m | 46,380 | 19.3% | 3.50 |
| 6 | Gyökeres | ARS | FWD | £9.1m | 43,740 | 17.9% | 3.07 |
| 7 | Semenyo | MCI | MID | £8.1m | 39,054 | 47.1% | 4.11 |
| 8 | Watkins | AVL | FWD | £8.7m | 34,250 | 13.4% | 3.38 |
| 9 | Welbeck | BHA | FWD | £6.4m | 31,779 | 9.0% | 5.01 |
| 10 | Mateta | CRY | FWD | £7.6m | 30,654 | 8.5% | 1.97 |
Get your own projections and plan the rest of your season at fpl.solioanalytics.com — free for the next 5 gameweeks, full season for members.
Solio Analytics' top captaincy pick for Gameweek 38 is Haaland (MCI) with 5.67 projected points, giving a captaincy return of 11.34 projected points.
Spurs has the strongest clean sheet odds for Gameweek 38 at 31% based on projected goals conceded.
Anthony at £5.0m leads budget midfielders with 4.62 projected points.
Haaland (£14.7m) leads premium picks (£10.0m+) with 5.67 projected points.
Solio Analytics runs one of the sharpest public FPL projection models — combining efficient sports markets with a stochastic minutes, goals, assists, clean sheet and bonus model — paired with state-of-the-art optimisation solvers that plan transfers and chip usage across the full branching gameweek tree.
Yes — the planner at fpl.solioanalytics.com is free for the next 5 gameweeks of planning. Members get full-season optimisation and additional features.
This page refreshes every 4 hours. Ownership and transfer counts come from live FPL data on each refresh. Projections update whenever underlying market data moves.
Import your FPL team at fpl.solioanalytics.com to get personalised transfer recommendations, chip timing, and gameweek-by-gameweek optimisation.